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News and Comment November 2019

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30 November (Part 2) - I’ve been told an election is coming

Looking back at election leaflets from previous years tells me that I’ve usually been able to accumulate a decent collection four weeks ahead of polling day and a few at least a couple of weeks earlier than that.

This year I had a small slip of paper from the Brexit Party a couple of weeks ago, maybe more, and since then absolutely nothing.
 
The Times PollIn both Old Bexley & Sidcup and Bexleyheath & Crayford the election result is probably a foregone conclusion but Erith & Thamesmead is not quite as clear cut.

Former Labour MP Teresa Pearce has opted out and no one is likely to be a complete replacement. The election is primarily a choice between Abena Oppong-Asare (Labour), Joe Robertson (Conservative) and Tom Bright (Brexit Party). (Other candidates are available.)

I saw before I gave up on Facebook that Abena has been accused of not even living in Bexley or the constituency which is nonsense because her post code is only one letter different to mine.

Joe Robertson doesn’t even live on the mainland of Britain but I have seen no similar criticism. Maybe it is because no one expects him to win.

If you look at last week’s biggest poll as published by The Times you may wonder if that assumption is mistaken. The Bexley end of the E&T Constituency voted convincingly to leave the European Union and I have been told that Abena’s leaflets don’t mention the B word at all. Probably wisely, she doesn’t mention the C word either.

The Times Poll shows Labour and Conservatives only three percentage points apart in Erith & Thamesmead with the Brexit Party on 9%. There is a lesson there for those who wish to leave the EU. On the other hand the figures may provide a lesson for Remainers too but there is a flaw in that argument. No one knows if Labour is a Leave Party, a Remain Party or a splinter in your bum party. All we know for sure is that it is a spend, spend, spend party.

I would prefer to know more about Joe Robertson but I think The Times poll has helped me to make up my mind.
The Brexit Party

 

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